UC-777
Align Load Shape and Hedge Position to reduce risk and stay compliant
The hedge position compared hour by hour against the shape the customer book actually has.
TBDBuild Duration
XXXXIndicative ROI
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The Challenge
The opportunity is to eliminate hedges bought against a stale book shape, shape mismatch showing up as unexplained settlement cost, and book changes never fed back into the hedge position. The proposed workflow is source-linked, but the current operating baseline and financial value remain illustrative until validated with the client.
How It Works
- Forecasts load shape from interval data, weather and the current customer book.
- Compares the forecast shape against the hedge position hour by hour.
- Reports the open position and the cost of leaving it ahead of the settlement period.
What It Removes
- Hedges bought against a stale book shape
- Shape mismatch showing up as unexplained settlement cost
- Book changes never fed back into the hedge position
Input Data RequirementsInterval usage data, customer book and enrollment forecast, weather forecasts, hedge and supply contract positions
Output FormatForward load shape forecast, hourly open position against hedges, exposure cost report before settlement
“Where is the book open against the hedge next month?”