UC-263
Medicine Demand & Shortage Forecaster
Warns each pharmacy what it will run short of before it happens and recommends order quantities and safe substitutions.
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The Challenge
87% of pharmacy staff face daily supply issues, up from 67% in 2022, with spiky repeat demand and no forward view. Owings and partial dispensing are tracked on paper.
How It Works
- Ingests order and dispense history plus official shortage notices.
- Per-SKU sequence models classify shortage risk and optimise reorders.
- Delivers forecasts, shortage alerts, quantities and substitution suggestions.
What It Removes
- Ringing round wholesalers
- Manual substitution hunting
- Paper owings tracking
Input Data RequirementsCharac order/dispense history, DHSC/MHRA shortage notices, dispensing history (via MHH), supplier stock feeds
Output FormatPer-SKU demand forecast, shortage-risk alerts, reorder quantities, safe-substitution suggestions
“It warns what each pharmacy will run short of before it happens - staff stop ringing round wholesalers.”