UC-1013
Margin at Risk
A price and margin record over the stock book.
14 weeksBuild Duration
XXXXIndicative ROI
XXXXBuild Cost
$XXXM/yrValue
The Challenge
The whole business is the spread. P110 fell 58% between 2022 and 2025, then rose 24.8% in early 2026. Prices are watched in the trade press and compared with remembered mill prices, so margin loss on an aged lot shows up after the mark-down, not before it.
How It Works
- Reads and connects the source records named in the proposal.
- A price and margin record over the stock book. It tracks P110 and grade indices through a feed and reads the trade press, benchmarks every lot’s cost basis against the current market, flags margin at risk on aged stock before a down-cycle bites, attributes realised margin per deal by grade, yard and trader, and stress-tests the book against price-down scenarios so a disposal can be timed rather than forced.
- Publishes a source-linked recommendation for Founder and Director approval and records the decision.
What It Removes
- Margin loss found after the mark-down.
- Margin measured once a year.
- Prices from memory.
Input Data RequirementsOperational, financial and reference records named in the boma_pipe proposal for Margin at Risk.
Output FormatMargin at Risk decision view with ranked actions, source links, confidence and a named owner.
“I know which lots are drifting while I can still do something about it.”